Is price prediction real or just a myth in trading?

Many people express various opinions about the prediction of any coin in crypto. Some may give some correct idea while some make different predictions to make their posts interesting. However, the predictions are mostly based on guesswork or accurate chart analysis. This question confuses a lot of beginners. Everyone wants to predict the next move, but is that even possible? Let’s break it down wisely:

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Markets Are Driven by Probability, Not Certainty. There’s no guaranteed way to predict price. The market is influenced by thousands of factors – some visible (like charts) and some hidden (like big players or unexpected news). That’s why no method is 100% accurate. Technical & Fundamental Analysis Help – But Don’t Guarantee. Technical analysis shows patterns and trends, and fundamentals show a company’s or asset’s real value. Both give hints, but not a promise. They increase your edge – not your certainty.

Emotions & News Change Everything. One headline can flip the market. Fear, greed, and major events often overpower any chart or prediction. That’s the human side of trading, and it can’t be predicted perfectly. Risk Management Is More Powerful Than Prediction. Smart traders don’t rely on being “right.” They manage risk so that even when they’re wrong, they survive to trade again. That’s the real skill.

Even Algorithms & AI Make Mistakes
Big institutions use high-level models and still lose. Why? Because markets are dynamic. Past data can’t always predict future moves. Price prediction is partly real — but it’s never perfect. It gives you a direction, not a guarantee. So focus on learning the game, managing risk, and thinking in terms of probability, not certainty.